It would be too little if he just left
It is clear - whoever presses him, Djukanovic cannot go. Due to fear, he has returned to the post of prime minister. Just consider what he has on his back - from the bankrupt aluminium industry to the dozens of unsolved high profile murders. He has missed all good chances to pull out. And is now a hostage of his own policy and numerous criminal fraternity, that he has been protecting for decades.
Just because the prime minister is an ex-person in politics, a helium balloon that could pop off at any moment, anything could happen in the coming months – from violence against opponents, to riots due to rising poverty. The cash box is empty, there is no money, and major entrepreneurs Saric, Kalić and Kelmendi and are either on the run or in jail ... The troubles are great. And are visible on the leader.
His eyes look tired. His hands nervously spin while he tells the Parliament that he will not leave the office on the 13 July state holiday. He's trying to be funny. This is a dangerous phase for dictators in the twilight hours. He is boasting that he will not bow down to Brussels, as some did before to Belgrade. He, allegedly, never did that. All his truths are alike.
He is still fervently defended only by the Farm, Baby and the played out Kusovac. And the Siamese twins with a joint brain Antenna - Analytica . One could not say who looks sadder. The junior coalition SDP partner wisely says that a fall of the government would not be a disaster, that Lekić's result proves that changes are possible, that the opposition is maturing. Another sign that there is something in the story that the powerful global addresses are turning a blind eye on Djukanovic.
The opposition SNP party leader Srdja Milic, who asked the Prime Minister whether he would resign, said that he was prompted to do it by the people in the government and the opposition who have good information from the international community. In turn, the opposition PZP leader Nebojsa Medojević, as usual, is more direct – Brussels is asking Djukanovic to go. This was denied by both Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Brussels.
According to one source, Djukanovic is being intimidated by the Europol report in which, apparently, his role can be seen in the infamous DDT - Drugs, Diamonds and Tobacco smuggling. The Sanader case is peanuts compared to this, claims Monitor's interlocutor.
However, it is less important who said what to Djukanovic. Strategically, the region is entering a new phase. Croatia is in the EU and Serbia will soon start the accession negotiations, which eliminates one of the main factors of instability in the Balkans. The EU and the US can now dedicate themselves more thoroughly to Montenegro and its vital troubles. A new attitude is emerging that a systemic change is necessary here - the transition from a totalitarian to an open society, in which the government would be replaceable. And for that, a personality change at the top would not sufficient, although it is also presumed.
This new approach is already in motion. Formally, Brussels has conceded the presidential elections, but the doubts regarding their legitimacy subsist. Full support has been given to the demands of the opposition and civil society for investigating the scandal 'Recordings' and for conducting a comprehensive review of the electoral rules. Also requested are urgent amendments to the Constitution aimed at reforming the judiciary.
The latest blow to the ruling DPS party came from the Venice Commission through its proposal that a qualified majority in the parliament should elect the State Prosecutor, constitutional judges and four members of the Judiciary Council. This deprives the ruling party the opportunity not only to choose single-handedly but also to block the election of main judiciary officials. So, it would be possible for the opposition and the junior coaltiton SDP party to agree on solutions that suit them.
International officials have already warned several times the authorities for faking the fight against corruption and organized crime and for suppressing media freedoms. Less loudly, but not less strongly, they have protested against the awarding of unlawful state aid to failed offshore companies of suspicious ownership structure and to the regime's daily Pobjeda.
The transition from a captured to an open society is not possible with Djukanovic. Everyone knows that. It is not sufficient to have the SDP illusion to make-up the system and to bring changes through a better personnel policy. By, say, sending the Mayor of Podgorica to an ambassadorial position, and by relieving the prime minister from the front office.
After this dark quarter century, Montenegro needs much more than 'sanaderisation' – the rule of law, the curbing of endemic corruption and of total control over economic resources, repressive and propaganda apparatus. The preparation of the first free elections. The articulating and strengthening of the democratic alternative to which Miodrag Lekic has already given a stamp. Finally, the gathering of all the anti-regime forces around one goal - a free, democratic Montenegro.
(Reprinted by daily Vijesti on 1 July 2013